Fail mathematics 101

[Zarvon]

I've beaten 40 silver dungeons and still no valk pick. Not one. Wtf?

[Handyman]

try gold dungeons?

[Zarvon]

Blackjack's beaten dozens and as far as I know he's never gotten one as loot... (he's beaten 30something, idk what it is exacttly)

[Blackjack]

64 or 63. Gold dungeons don't have valk tools at loot. They have phoenix, iron bubbles, lifeshards, vamp swords, etc.

Silver dungeons are the ones with valk tools.

[Zarvon]

That's what I thought. Soooo why no valk picks? Was the drop rate incredibly diminished? 'Cause I've found a lot of valk axes and quite a few shovels.

[marc0303]

You have 1 chance out of 9 that the special loot will be valkyrie tools (pick, shovel and axe). If it is the case, you have 1 chance out of 2 to get each tool.
Edit: Clarity. Code here: http://pastebin.com/xNTbpwuc" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

[Zarvon]

Mmmk so my luck is just as bad as hell. Thanks XD

[Mr_Blobby]

http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=%288%2F9%29%5E40" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Or am I working it out wrong?

[Zarvon]

What does this mean... That I have a 0.009% chance of getting one? 0_o

[nickmcski]

http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=%288%2F9%29%5E40

Or am I working it out wrong?

I don't think that's right, I got 44% chance.
(1/9)/2
1/9 to get the case called
And 50% chance to get a Valkyrie pick.
But I could of read the random Boolen wrong