Fail mathematics 101

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Cynthriel
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Re: Valk pickaxes

Post by Cynthriel » Sat Jan 12, 2013 12:00 am

nickmcski wrote:
Cynthriel wrote: I don't know why people are saying 1/2 chance to get a pick, there are 3 selections for that reward: axe, pick or shovel.
so 1/3 chance when you get that reward, and a chest typically has 3 rewards, so it'd just cross cancel the 1/3 chance to get a pick. (1/9)(1/3) = 1/27 would be the answer if the chest came with 1 reward.

Wouldn't be 11% because that's not how probability works, it'd be +3 chances at 3.7%
Cyn look at the code marc posted.... It has a 1/9th chance of calling that case in that case each tool has a random Boolean (true or false) for each of the tools.
oh, true or false.
Still, there are multiple cases selected each chest, so a few chances are given each chest.

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Re: Valk pickaxes

Post by Zarvon » Sat Jan 12, 2013 12:54 am

The more math that happens, the more I realize how shitty my luck was...
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Blackjack
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Re: Valk pickaxes

Post by Blackjack » Sat Jan 12, 2013 2:52 am

lol.
Make it idiot proof and someone will make a better idiot.

Everyone is entitled to be stupid, some people just abuse the privilege.

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Mr_Blobby
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Re: Valk pickaxes

Post by Mr_Blobby » Sat Jan 12, 2013 8:23 am

Cynthriel wrote:
nickmcski wrote:
Cynthriel wrote: I don't know why people are saying 1/2 chance to get a pick, there are 3 selections for that reward: axe, pick or shovel.
so 1/3 chance when you get that reward, and a chest typically has 3 rewards, so it'd just cross cancel the 1/3 chance to get a pick. (1/9)(1/3) = 1/27 would be the answer if the chest came with 1 reward.

Wouldn't be 11% because that's not how probability works, it'd be +3 chances at 3.7%
Cyn look at the code marc posted.... It has a 1/9th chance of calling that case in that case each tool has a random Boolean (true or false) for each of the tools.
oh, true or false.
Still, there are multiple cases selected each chest, so a few chances are given each chest.
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Cynthriel
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Re: Valk pickaxes

Post by Cynthriel » Sat Jan 12, 2013 11:09 pm

blobbosezhi2 wrote:
Fuck my life.. 16.5% HAPPY?
I was just trying to say it's a whole different chance because there are more than one case per chest. :O

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Re: Valk pickaxes

Post by Jinx » Sun Jan 13, 2013 12:36 am

OK PEOPLE. In summary, Theres a small chance to get a pickaxe. Where do you people get these equations from any way? All I would say is " Its hard to get a pickaxe." Bam, explained. :thumbsup:
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Re: Valk pickaxes

Post by VepaS » Sun Jan 13, 2013 1:13 am

It's comparatively hard to get pickaxe.
Age si quid agis.

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Zarvon
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Re: Valk pickaxes

Post by Zarvon » Sun Jan 13, 2013 1:32 am

I have now gotten 3 in 10 dungeons, after getting none for 44.

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Re: Valk pickaxes

Post by Killgun » Sun Jan 13, 2013 12:48 pm

Zarvon wrote:I have now gotten 3 in 10 dungeons, after getting none for 44.

Wierdness of life ====> High
Or you could say that someone changed the likelihood for you? :cheesy:
http://nightriderturbo.com/
AHHHHHHHHH
GOTTA STEER OHGODOHGOD *steering wheel pops off*
NONONOOOO WELL MAYBE MY LAST MOMENTS WILL IN PEACEFUL MUSIC *accidently tears out radio*
WHYYYYYYYY
~Ritz~

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Zarvon
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Re: Valk pickaxes

Post by Zarvon » Sun Jan 13, 2013 1:12 pm

I don't think even nidefawl can change specific player's chances of getting items in a dungeon...
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