Fail mathematics 101

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Mr_Blobby
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Re: Valk pickaxes

Post by Mr_Blobby » Wed Jan 09, 2013 10:42 pm

You don't divide you multiply fractions.

Also, 1% chance of not having at least 1 pick by now
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Re: Valk pickaxes

Post by Zarvon » Wed Jan 09, 2013 11:06 pm

I'll do another 10 tonight and get back to you XD
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Re: Valk pickaxes

Post by Zarvon » Thu Jan 10, 2013 12:04 am

44th kill did it. Yay!

EDIT: Disappeared from my inv when I logged in. Oh well. I should have better luck now.
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Re: Valk pickaxes

Post by rosewood18 » Thu Jan 10, 2013 11:29 am

I think it's 1/9 = x then x/3. so that works out too 1/9 = .1111, .1111/3 = .037 = 3.7%. There are three possibilities for a Valkyrie tool, that is why I used the probability of 1 out of 3. 3.7% is only if you received one dungeon item per chest, the actual probability is higher than 3.7% since there are like 3 to 4 items per chest. I'm probably wrong lol but maybe I helped a little.

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Re: Valk pickaxes

Post by nickmcski » Thu Jan 10, 2013 2:21 pm

rosewood18 wrote:I think it's 1/9 = x then x/3. so that works out too 1/9 = .1111, .1111/3 = .037 = 3.7%. There are three possibilities for a Valkyrie tool, that is why I used the probability of 1 out of 3. 3.7% is only if you received one dungeon item per chest, the actual probability is higher than 3.7% since there are like 3 to 4 items per chest. I'm probably wrong lol but maybe I helped a little.
Its not 1/3 tools its 50% chance to get all the tools i believe.
And yes my math was technically wrong
(1/9)*0.5 would be proper, but both equations work out the same.
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Re: Valk pickaxes

Post by Killgun » Thu Jan 10, 2013 8:48 pm

nickmcski wrote:
rosewood18 wrote:I think it's 1/9 = x then x/3. so that works out too 1/9 = .1111, .1111/3 = .037 = 3.7%. There are three possibilities for a Valkyrie tool, that is why I used the probability of 1 out of 3. 3.7% is only if you received one dungeon item per chest, the actual probability is higher than 3.7% since there are like 3 to 4 items per chest. I'm probably wrong lol but maybe I helped a little.
Its not 1/3 tools its 50% chance to get all the tools i believe.
And yes my math was technically wrong
(1/9)*0.5 would be proper, but both equations work out the same.
Incorrect.
If there's 3 tools, you can't have a 50% chance of getting each. That would even out incorrectly.
You have about a 33.3% chance of getting a valkyrie pickaxe.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but its true, 150% isn't possible.
Hope I helped :D
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Re: Valk pickaxes

Post by Mr_Blobby » Thu Jan 10, 2013 9:23 pm

Cut

17/18 to the power of 180 for the streak.
I think I broke something l.


EDIT:
Adjustment.
Chance of 1/9 to reach tools section. 1/2 chance to get a pick. Therefore 1/18 chance to get a pick.

About 5.5 percent chance.
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Re: Valk pickaxes

Post by nickmcski » Fri Jan 11, 2013 2:26 am

KILLGUN345 wrote:
nickmcski wrote:
rosewood18 wrote:I think it's 1/9 = x then x/3. so that works out too 1/9 = .1111, .1111/3 = .037 = 3.7%. There are three possibilities for a Valkyrie tool, that is why I used the probability of 1 out of 3. 3.7% is only if you received one dungeon item per chest, the actual probability is higher than 3.7% since there are like 3 to 4 items per chest. I'm probably wrong lol but maybe I helped a little.
Its not 1/3 tools its 50% chance to get all the tools i believe.
And yes my math was technically wrong
(1/9)*0.5 would be proper, but both equations work out the same.
Incorrect.
If there's 3 tools, you can't have a 50% chance of getting each. That would even out incorrectly.
You have about a 33.3% chance of getting a valkyrie pickaxe.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but its true, 150% isn't possible.
Hope I helped :D
The way the code is (which marc posted) it is possible to get anywhere from 0-3 tools
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Re: Valk pickaxes

Post by Cynthriel » Fri Jan 11, 2013 3:10 am

blobbosezhi2 wrote:Cut

17/18 to the power of 180 for the streak.
I think I broke something l.


EDIT:
Adjustment.
Chance of 1/9 to reach tools section. 1/2 chance to get a pick. Therefore 1/18 chance to get a pick.

About 5.5 percent chance.
wouldn't it be 1/3 to get a pick? (Axe, pick, shovel). And then, about 3 rewards per chest, most of the time it's more.
That'd revert the 1/3 chance, and it'd be a 11% chance.

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Re: Valk pickaxes

Post by Jinx » Fri Jan 11, 2013 5:14 am

So.... much.... math...
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